Bitcoin’s 6-7 Week Theory Suggests Timing of Next Major Correction

Summary: A recurring pattern in Bitcoin’s historical price rallies indicates that a significant market correction typically occurs after six to seven weeks of upward momentum. This theory, now unfolding in the 2024 cycle, suggests BTC could have several more bullish weeks before a potential downturn.

Understanding the 6-7 Week Bitcoin Theory

Bitcoin has developed multiple cyclical patterns over its 15-year history, but one stands out for its predictive value — the 6-7 week rally period before a notable market correction. According to crypto analyst Rekt Capital, this pattern has appeared consistently in previous bull cycles, often signaling when peak momentum gives way to pullbacks.

In a recent analysis shared on X, Rekt Capital examined past bull runs starting with 2013. In that cycle, Bitcoin rallied for six consecutive weeks before seeing a major correction in the seventh week. Similarly, in the 2017 bull market, BTC surged for seven weeks before retreating by 34% in week eight.

This pattern repeated itself during the 2020–2021 cycle, where Bitcoin posted gains for six weeks, then corrected by 16% in the seventh week. Again, during early 2025, the asset rose for seven weeks before experiencing a 32% drop to $75,000.

The alternating six-to-seven-week trend strongly suggests a behavioral rhythm in market psychology during Bitcoin’s price discovery phases. Once BTC enters uncharted price territory, it typically rallies for between one and two months before significant resistance emerges.

Where BTC Stands in the Current Cycle

Bitcoin has recently surged into all-time highs near the $120,000 level, marking the start of a new price discovery phase. As Rekt Capital notes, this phase is currently in its early stages — only two weeks into the rally.

If past performance is any guide, this implies there could be four to five more bullish weeks ahead before the next major correction hits. Based on this timeline, the rally could extend through the remainder of July and into early August.

However, if the 6-7 week cycle remains consistent, August may usher in a sharp correction, potentially exceeding a 30% decline. This would align with previous cycles and provide a roadmap for traders looking to anticipate market movements.

Market Outlook

While historical trends do not guarantee future performance, the consistency of the 6–7 week rally pattern before a correction gives traders and analysts a valuable lens through which to assess Bitcoin’s current rally. With the digital asset only midway through this critical period, further price gains seem likely in the near term — but caution may be warranted as August approaches.